Developing economies are trying to satiate their growing demand by digging new reserves and exploring alternatives, but all seems in vain as energy watchdog, International Energy Agency stated that within five year, world will face acute shortage of supply.
In its quest for oil, mighty America is in Iraq, now desperately looking at Iran. European Union is dependent on Russia’s mercy, whereas OPEC is waywardly oscillating the prices and hurting the balance of payment of developing nation.
Prices will sore to a record level and industrialized countries’ development will depend on oil cartel OPEC.
It’s expecting that oil demand will grow at an annual rate of 2.2 per cent during the next five years, up from a previous estimate of 2 per cent, to reach 95.8million barrels a day in 2012.
In its starkest warning yet on the world’s fuel outlook, the International Energy Agency said: ‘Oil looks extremely tight in five years time and there are prospects of even tighter natural gas markets at the turn of the decade.’
The analysts at IEA calculate the supply of oil, which assume to fall faster than expected in major industry areas. Meanwhile, consumption is accelerating on strong economic growth in emerging countries.
Although, the supply from non-members of the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries will increase at an annual pace of 1 per cent yet will be far less than half the rate of the demand rise.
Inefficient supply will force OPEC to sharply increase its production in the next five years, in that condition OPEC can increase its prices.
Head of the IEA’s oil market division, Lawrence Eagles, rightly stated:
If we get to the point were there is insufficient supply, the only way to balance the market will be through higher prices and a drop in demand
The IEA Medium Term Oil Market Report came as oil prices are again on the verge of previous record high at $72 a barrel. Refineries are already paying record high prices as producing countries have cut the discount at which they sell their oil relative to Brent.
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